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Vincent_WF
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An imminent Grand Solar Minimum

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See a paper on "Dynamical characterization of the last prolonged solar minima" that elaborates with quantitative analysis on an imminent Grand Minimum.

Image
"Fig. 6. Radial acceleration ar; PE storage at 0.16 solar radius facing the barycentre (PEv), and the observed sunspots series (SN). The particular dynamics around the impulsive events produce a dramatic decrease of the hypothetic PE in the studied solar zone. The ‘X’ symbol marks the minima in PEv values; they occur ~1593–1632-1670; ~1772–1811-1850; ~1951-1990–2030 (see the text for explanation [Page 8/12]). Acceleration reckoning in UA d2. PEv plot in logarithmic scale." - Excerpt from the paper on page 9/12.

From the barycentric perspective, when the PEv values were low (marked X) as a result of the Sun was very near to the quasi SSB during the troughs of the solar minima in 1650 (Wolf number) and SC6 (SIDC) in 1811, there were occurrences of the grand solar minima during the troughs of these solar cycles, and for the solar minimum of SC26 in 2030 the PEv value would also be at a low value. When those PEv values were low during the peaks of the solar maxima of SC2, SC9, SC18, SC22, there was no occurrence of any grand solar minimum at all.

The ~20 year integral cycle of Sun, Jupiter, and Saturn, interacting with the ~11 year half-integral cycle in the barycentric alignments of Jupiter and Saturn barycenter, Sun, and BOTSS, would generate the ~220 year (20x11) long-range half cycle.

Heuristically, the commencing of the solar cycle 25 should result in the sunspot numbers to rise in the coming years until it reaches the solar maximum in around 2025. Nonetheless, the peak of this solar cycle 25 could be expected to be as low as the solar maximum of the solar cycle 05, which happened in Feb 1805 at 220 years ago from the solar maximum of the solar cycle 05. And towards the end of the solar cycle 25, with its comparable position of BOTSS positioned near the mass center of the Sun, it could manifest a Grand Solar minimum of a lesser Dalton minimum magnitude with the near position during the solar cycle trough in 2030.

This solar minimum anticipated to happen around 2030 with the near superior conjunction of Saturn-Sun-Jupiter, could be anticipated to be prolonged at around the trough at the end of the solar cycle 25. And this prolonged trough of the solar minimum would be similar to the solar minimum of the solar cycle 06 that had begun in Aug 1810 with the superior conjunction of Saturn-Sun-Jupiter formed in around 1812. And thus the mass center of the Sun was cyclically positioned at the closest point to the barycenter of the Solar System with Uranus and Neptune positioned at the side of Saturn away from Jupiter and the Sun.

The year 1812 was the beginning of the coldest years that last until 1818 during the Dalton minimum (roughly between 1790 and 1830). Despite 1816 was remembered as the year without summer, but that year was not the coldest year between 1812 and 1818.

From the barycentric perspective, the trough period of the Grand Solar Minimum occurring during the anticipated solar minimum in February 2030, is the recurrence of a 220-year long-range solar cycle as a result of a long period barycentric alignment of the four gas giants with the mass center of the Sun and the barycenter of the Solar System. As a result of the near superior conjunction of Saturn-Sun-Jupiter during the anticipated solar minimum with Uranus and Neptune positioned at the side of Saturn away from Jupiter and the Sun, the mass center of the Sun would cyclically approach very near to the barycenter of the Solar System in late March 2030, which would coincide with the trough period the solar cycle 26 around its solar minimum.

The full-blown effects of the 220-year long-range solar cycle occurring to Earth after the solar maximum in October 2023, could be expected to begin thereafter till it reaches the deepest trough of the anticipated Grand Solar Minimum in late March 2030 when the mass center of the Sun approaches very near to the barycenter of the Solar System, and its effects would then oscillate to wean off thereon.

From the barycentric perspective, a Grand Solar Minimum is indeed imminent.
Last edited by Vincent_WF on Sat Oct 24, 2020 12:03 pm, edited 10 times in total.
- The entire observable universe is subliminally paradoxical.
- By realizing the paradoxical effect of nature, it enlightens on how natural phenomena could be negated to render their delusions in a typical obfuscated manner.

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Vincent_WF
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Little Ice Age

Post by Vincent_WF »

In the UVS worldview, the Little Ice Age events occurred during the grand solar minima were caused by a long cycle precession effect with the orbital forcing of the barycentric Solar System.

The mass center of the Sun with the orbital motion of the major Solar System objects would cyclically cause it to be positioned very near to the BOTSS. The Sun when cyclically positioned at its nearest approach to the BOTSS, is therefore spiraling at its lowest angular momentum. Hence, with reduced total solar irradiance from the Sun during the solar minima, and also the long-ranged cyclical alignments of the Solar System objects with their tidal effects that extremely intensify the nested polar vortex on the Earth during the winters caused by the orbital forcing of its axial tilt, these effects therefore could cyclically render the Little Ice Age phenomena on Earth that would be synchronized with the grand solar minima during the troughs of the solar cycle.

From the barycentric perspective, the superior conjunction of the major Solar System barycenters would cause the Sun to cyclically move very near the BOTSS. And when this coincides with the troughs of the solar minima, it would render the Little Ice Age events. And it was observed when the superior conjunction of the major Solar System barycenters had happened during the peaks of the solar maxima, these barycentric alignments did not manifest any grand solar minimum at all.

Image

Dr. Timo Niroma discovered a long-range solar cycle with the Wolf number of a 400-year-plus sunspot record, which suggests the next grand solar minima could occur around 2031; this discovery infers a Little Ice Age could also occur as a result.

From the barycentric perspective, the longer orbital resonance of Sun, Jupiter, and Saturn would render this ~220 year long-range cycle. (The ~20 year integral cycle x ~11 year half-integral solar cycle)

The orbital inclination of the Earth's orbit relative to the invariable plane has a ~100,000 year cycle, the axial precession of Earth has a cycle of ~25,800 years, and the axial tilt of Earth that causes seasons on Earth has a cycle of ~1 year. The approximate orbital resonance of Jupiter and Saturn has an approximate synodic cycle of ~59.3 years, and it also has a long-range cycle of ~220 years. The orbital resonance of Uranus and Neptune has a sidereal cycle of ~172 years, the orbital resonance of the barycenter of Jupiter and Saturn and the barycenter of Uranus and Neptune has a near synodic cycle of ~177.9 years. The orbital resonance of Jupiter and Saturn has a sidereal cycle of ~20 years, the Sun has an integral solar cycle of ~22 years, in which the half-integral solar cycle averages at ~11 years.

Heuristically, the major climate variations on Earth are primarily and largely governed by the planetary mechanism that renders the long and short solar cycles of the barycentric Solar System.

Local physical laws are determined by the large-scale structure of the universe.” - Mach's principle
Last edited by Vincent_WF on Sat Oct 24, 2020 9:47 pm, edited 1 time in total.
- The entire observable universe is subliminally paradoxical.
- By realizing the paradoxical effect of nature, it enlightens on how natural phenomena could be negated to render their delusions in a typical obfuscated manner.

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Vincent_WF
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The Great Conjunction

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A Great Conjunction of almost aligned Jupiter and Saturn would occur on 21st December during this winter solstice.

Image

During the winter solstice, Earth, Sun, and the Galactic Center would also be quite aligned.

From the barycentric perspective, such a planetary torque-induced precession could render severe geology and atmospheric events on Earth globally. And these events would get from bad to worst while the Great Conjunction forms and thus intensifies its effects.
- The entire observable universe is subliminally paradoxical.
- By realizing the paradoxical effect of nature, it enlightens on how natural phenomena could be negated to render their delusions in a typical obfuscated manner.

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Vincent_WF
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The qualitative predictions for solar cycle 25

Post by Vincent_WF »

For those who could follow this thread, you would be able to appreciate the following qualitative predictions for solar cycle 25.

This UVS case study applied visual analysis with a barycentric Solar System model to qualitatively predict the solar minimum and maximum of the solar cycle 25, and completes the analysis with its prediction for the solar minimum of the solar cycle 26.

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This barycentric perspective suggests solar cycle 24 technically had ended in June 2019, which occurred when there was a Sun-SSB-BJSUN-Saturn alignment in phase 2 of the 3-body motion of Sun, Jupiter, and Saturn.

Whereas for the solar cycle 24 as announced in late 2020 by NOAA, there was no significant barycentric alignment in December 2019 while the inferior conjunction of Jupiter and Saturn was forming. (Note: The alignment of Sun and SSB is always almost aligned with BJSUN.)

This visual analysis is predicting the solar maximum of the solar cycle 25 would occur in October 2023 with the Sun-SSB-BJS-BUN alignment in phase 3 of the 3-body motion. And with the comparative analysis of the past solar cycles, it predicts at this solar maximum the Sun would switch its magnetic pole to the reversed state while it is moving farthest away from the SSB.

Image

It is also predicting the solar minimum of the solar cycle 26 would occur in February 2030 with the BUN-Sun-SSB-BJS alignment in phase 4 of the 3-body motion. And it predicts at this solar minimum the Sun would remain in the state of reversed polarity for its magnetic pole while it is making its closest approach to the SSB.

Image

Disclaimer: This barycentric planetarium of Celestia is based on its quasi Solar System Barycenter (SSB), which is not the actual BOTSS. Consequently, the actual dates for the solar minimum of solar cycle 26 could slightly vary for the case study of this solar cycle when the mass center of the Sun is positioned very near to the BOTSS. Also, this animation was mostly sampled at six-month intervals with rough estimations, and there could be E&OE of the manual works.
- The entire observable universe is subliminally paradoxical.
- By realizing the paradoxical effect of nature, it enlightens on how natural phenomena could be negated to render their delusions in a typical obfuscated manner.

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